Aston Villa – Brighton odds
Aston Villa went into the match as narrow favourites against Brighton.
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Aston Villa – Brighton: closing odds analysis
- Aston Villa were favourites: the closing odds implied a 42% chance of a home win, 31% for Brighton and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Aston Villa 2.23 at VBET, the draw 3.45 at VBET, Brighton 3.07 at Expekt.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 92.8%.
Who were the favourites, Aston Villa or Brighton?
Aston Villa, but only just: the closing odds put 11.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Aston Villa – Brighton?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Aston Villa, VBET on the draw and Expekt on Brighton. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (92.8%) and Betano the least (85.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | ASTON VILLA | DRAW | BRIGHTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.23 best price | 3.45 best price | 2.95 | 92.8% |
| Stake | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.03 | 92.7% |
| bwin | 2.17 | 3.35 | 2.98 | 91.3% |
| Betsson | 2.14 | 3.32 | 2.91 | 89.9% |
| Expekt | 2.09 | 3.24 | 3.07 best price | 89.9% |
| NordicBet | 2.12 | 3.27 | 2.88 | 88.9% |
| LeoVegas | 2.07 | 3.20 | 2.85 | 87.2% |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.16 | 2.81 | 86.0% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.12 | 2.78 | 85.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.23 | 3.45 | 3.07 | 94.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.02–2.23 · 10.4% | 3.12–3.45 · 10.6% | 2.78–3.07 · 10.4% | 85.1–92.8% |
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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