PREMIER LEAGUE · SUN 12 JUL · 18:00

Arsenal – Liverpool odds

Arsenal went into the match as narrow favourites against Liverpool.

6 markets · closing odds across 9 bookmakers

FINISHEDThis match has finished. The prices below are the closing odds recorded before kick-off — they are archival and not comparable to live prices.

WHAT THE CLOSING ODDS IMPLIED

Arsenal 40%Draw 27%Liverpool 33%

CLOSING PAYOUT · MATCH RESULT

96.4%

vs 91.7% average

KICK-OFF

18:00

Full Time

Match Result

3 outcomes

Arsenal	2.43
Draw	3.58
Liverpool	2.89

Double Chance

3 outcomes

Arsenal / Draw	1.52
Arsenal / Liverpool	1.37
Draw / Liverpool	1.69

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

2 outcomes

Over 2.5	1.77
Under 2.5	1.92

Both Teams to Score

2 outcomes

Yes	1.81
No	2.21

Correct Score

5 outcomes

2-1	8.48
1-1	6.34
1-2	7.77
2-2	11.96
0-0	11.00

Players

Anytime Goalscorer

6 outcomes

Mohamed Salah	2.28
Bukayo Saka	2.58
Kai Havertz	2.83
Darwin Núñez	2.97
Cody Gakpo	3.19
Martin Ødegaard	3.59

Arsenal – Liverpool: closing odds analysis

By OddsStat odds data · Closing prices at kick-off, 12 Jul 2026, 18:00 · 9 bookmakers licensed in Denmark

KEY FACTS · AT KICK-OFF

Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 33% for Liverpool and 27% for a draw.
Best closing odds: Arsenal 2.43 at Stake, the draw 3.58 at bwin, Liverpool 2.89 at Stake.
Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 55% that both teams score.

Who were the favourites, Arsenal or Liverpool?

Arsenal, but only just: the closing odds put 6.3 percentage points between the two sides.

Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Arsenal – Liverpool?

It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Arsenal, bwin on the draw and Stake on Liverpool. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Betano the least (87.2%).

Arsenal – Liverpool: closing match result odds and payout by bookmaker
BOOKMAKER	ARSENAL	DRAW	LIVERPOOL	PAYOUT
Stake	2.43 best price	3.53	2.89 best price	96.1%
bwin	2.40	3.58 best price	2.85	95.5%
VBET	2.36	3.48	2.81	93.7%
Betsson	2.34	3.44	2.78	92.8%
NordicBet	2.31	3.40	2.74	91.6%
Expekt	2.28	3.36	2.71	90.5%
LeoVegas	2.25	3.32	2.68	89.4%
Unibet	2.22	3.28	2.64	88.2%
Betano	2.20	3.24	2.61	87.2%
BEST PRICE	2.43	3.58	2.89	96.4%
SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH	2.20–2.43 · 10.5%	3.24–3.58 · 10.5%	2.61–2.89 · 10.7%	87.2–96.1%

Closing odds: the last prices recorded before kick-off · — = no price from that bookmaker.

Liverpool had the widest spread: 2.61 to 2.89 across 9 bookmakers, a difference of 10.7%.

How many goals did the odds expect?

The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.0%.

Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score55%

The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals in Arsenal – Liverpool.

How we calculate

Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.

Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.

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The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.