Chelsea – Fulham odds
Chelsea went into the match as heavy favourites against Fulham.
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Chelsea – Fulham: closing odds analysis
- Chelsea were favourites: the closing odds implied a 55% chance of a home win, 21% for Fulham and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Chelsea 1.72 at Stake, the draw 3.95 at VBET, Fulham 4.60 at Betsson.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 94.5%.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Chelsea or Fulham?
Chelsea, by a distance: the closing odds put 34.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Chelsea – Fulham?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Chelsea, VBET on the draw and Betsson on Fulham. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (94.5%) and Betano the least (85.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | CHELSEA | DRAW | FULHAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.72 best price | 3.89 | 4.54 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 1.70 | 3.84 | 4.47 | 93.3% |
| VBET | 1.67 | 3.95 best price | 4.42 | 92.7% |
| Betsson | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.60 best price | 92.0% |
| NordicBet | 1.63 | 3.75 | 4.37 | 90.2% |
| Expekt | 1.61 | 3.71 | 4.31 | 89.1% |
| LeoVegas | 1.59 | 3.66 | 4.26 | 88.0% |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 3.61 | 4.21 | 86.8% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.57 | 4.16 | 85.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.72 | 3.95 | 4.60 | 95.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.55–1.72 · 11.0% | 3.57–3.95 · 10.6% | 4.16–4.60 · 10.6% | 85.8–94.5% |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 50.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
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